Grizzlies vs. Spurs odds, line: 2023 NBA picks, Jan. 11 predictions from proven computer model



The San Antonio Spurs (13-28) will face the Memphis Grizzlies (27-13) for the second time in three days when the teams meet on Wednesday night. San Antonio came up short in a 121-113 final on Monday, but it covered the 11.5-point spread. Memphis extended its winning streak to seven games with that win and will have its best player back on the court for this game. 

Tipoff is set for 8 p.m. ET from FedEx Forum. Memphis is favored by 13.5 points in the latest Grizzlies vs. Spurs odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 238.5. Before entering any Spurs vs. Grizzlies picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 13 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 43-19 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Grizzlies vs. Spurs. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Spurs vs. Grizzlies:

Grizzlies vs. Spurs spread: Grizzlies -13.5Grizzlies vs. Spurs over/under: 238.5 pointsGrizzlies vs. Spurs money line: Memphis -1000, San Antonio +650Grizzlies vs. Spurs picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Memphis Grizzlies vs. San Antonio Spurs

Why the Grizzlies can cover

Memphis was without leading scorer Ja Morant (thigh) on Monday, but seven players scored in double figures to overcome his absence. Morant, who averages 27.2 points, 8.0 assists and 5.9 rebounds per game, is set to return tonight as he’s not even listed on the injury report. The Grizzlies extended their winning streak to seven games with Monday’s win against San Antonio, as Tyus Jones had a team-high 24 points as Morant’s replacement. 

Center Steven Adams returned from a one-game absence (illness) to score 13 points and grab 15 rebounds in a double-double effort, while Jaren Jackson Jr. had 16 points and five blocks. San Antonio has lost five of its last six games and is allowing a league-worst 120.6 points per game. Memphis has won nine straight meetings between these teams, and the Spurs are riding a six-game road losing streak, with the latter also being without second-leading scorer Devin Vassell (knee) for Wednesday.

Why the Spurs can cover

San Antonio has lost five of its last six games, but it has still been undervalued by the betting market. The Spurs have covered the spread in six of their last seven contests, and they have been in a position to win their last two games against Boston and Memphis. Leading scorer Keldon Johnson, who has missed the last two games due to a hamstring injury, is questionable for this game. 

The Spurs went on an 11-1 run to open the fourth quarter of Monday’s game against Memphis, giving them a 103-98 lead before they came up short down the stretch. Guard Tre Jones recorded team highs in points (18) and assists (seven), while Josh Richardson chipped in 16 points off the bench. Memphis has only covered the spread twice in its last six games against Southwest Division opponents. 

How to make Spurs vs. Grizzlies picks

The model has simulated Grizzlies vs. Spurs 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Spurs vs. Grizzlies? And which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine to see which side of the Grizzlies vs. Spurs spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.



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