The Dean Smith Center showcases a non-conference showdown on Tuesday evening. The North Carolina Tar Heels welcome The Citadel Bulldogs to Chapel Hill in prime time. UNC is 6-4 overall and 5-0 at home this season following a 16-point win over Georgia Tech on Saturday. The Citadel is 5-4 overall and 2-2 in true road games this season.
Caesars Sportsbook lists the Tar Heels as 26.5-point home favorites for this 7 p.m. ET tip. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 147 in the latest The Citadel vs. North Carolina odds. Before locking in any North Carolina vs. The Citadel picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 6 of the 2022-23 college basketball season on a strong 17-10 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks, returning almost $300. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on UNC vs. Citadel and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several college basketball odds and betting lines and trends for Citadel vs. UNC:
North Carolina vs. The Citadel spread: UNC -26.5North Carolina vs. The Citadel over/under: 147 pointsCIT: The Bulldogs are 5-2-1 against the spread this seasonUNC: The Tar Heels are 2-7-1 against the spread this season.North Carolina vs. The Citadel picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game | North Carolina Tar Heels vs. The Citadel Bulldogs
Why The Citadel can cover
Beyond The Citadel’s strengths, the Bulldogs are facing a North Carolina that is vastly underachieving so far this season. North Carolina is 1-4 in the last five games, and the Tar Heels are outside the top 300 in turnover creation rate (16.2%) and steal rate (7.7%) on defense. North Carolina is also shooting only 28.8% from 3-point range, and that makes the Tar Heels vulnerable to upset bids.
The Citadel is led by senior forward Stephen Clark, who is averaging 16.3 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 1.7 blocked shots per game while shooting 53% from the floor. The Bulldogs commit a turnover on only 18.0% of offensive possessions and shoot 78.7% collectively at the free throw line. Opponents also struggle to make shots against The Citadel. The Bulldogs are allowing only 31.5% shooting on 3-point attempts and 48.8% shooting on 2-point attempts this season.
Why North Carolina can cover
In addition to an explosive offense and a core that is highly experienced as the reigning national runner-up, North Carolina has strong defense numbers. The Tar Heels excel in free throw prevention, and North Carolina has a sterling 11% block rate. North Carolina is bigger and more physical than most opponents, as evidenced by a 73.3% defensive rebound rate and opponents are shooting only 47.6% on 2-point attempts against the Tar Heels.
The Citadel has trouble generating second-chance opportunities, grabbing only 20.5% of available offensive rebounds after missed shots. The Bulldogs are also strongly below-average in shooting efficiency, including a 31.5% mark on 3-point attempts and an ugly 48.4% clip on 2-point shots.
How to make UNC vs. The Citadel picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 147 total points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 70% of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins The Citadel vs. UNC? And which side of the spread hits well over 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.
