The Phoenix Suns look to advance to the Western Conference Finals for the second consecutive season with a victory over the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday night. Phoenix has won all three home games of this best-of-seven second round clash. As the No. 1 seed, Phoenix hosts Game 7 in what should be an electiric atmosphere in support of the home team.
Tip-off is at 8 p.m. ET at the Footprint Center. Phoenix is favored by 6.5-points in the latest Mavericks vs. Suns odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 205. Before locking in any Suns vs. Mavericks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the fourth full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Mavericks vs Suns, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Suns vs. Mavericks:
Suns vs. Mavericks spread: Phoenix -6.5Suns vs. Mavericks over-under: 205 pointsSuns vs. Mavericks money line: Phoenix -300, Dallas +240PHO: The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a home favoriteDAL: The Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played on Sunday
Featured Game | Phoenix Suns vs. Dallas Mavericks
Why the Mavericks can cover
Guard Luka Doncic is a legitimate all-around force for Dallas. Doncic’s basketball instincts are top-notch with superb creativity with the ball in his hands. The three-time All-Star can score from all three levels with ease. The 2018 third overall pick is leading the team in points (31.1), rebounds (10.1), assists (6.9), and steals (1.9). In Game 6, Doncic racked up 33 points, 11 rebounds, and eight assists.
Forward Dorian Finney-Smith is a long athlete with versatility in the front court. Finney-Smith is energetic on the defensive end while being a slasher. The Florida product gives the ultimate effort on defense and can also knock down a 3-pointer if needed. He’s putting up 12.2 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 1.1 steals per game. In Game 4, he finished with 24 points and eight boards.
Why the Suns can cover
As mentioned, the Suns have won all three of their games in this series at home and the home team has covered in all six games so far. But the Suns have been particularly dominant in their own building, winning by an average margin of 22.3 points per game. The Suns are averaging 120.0 points per contest at the Footprint Center.
They’ve done that despite the fact that Chris Paul is averaging just 14.0 points and 6.0 assists per game, while turning the ball over 22 times in the series. Expect the 12-time NBA All-Star to turn it on in a win-or-go-home scenario on Sunday. Devin Booker is also expected to play a major role for the Suns. In Phoenix’s Game 5 victory at home, Booker recorded 28 points, seven rebounds and two assists.
How to make Suns vs. Mavericks picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 215 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Suns vs. Mavericks Game 7 pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Mavericks vs. Suns? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Suns vs. Mavericks spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.