On Sunday, the Portland Trail Blazers (12-18 SU, 11-19 ATS) will travel to Memphis to meet the Grizzlies (19-11 SU, 19-11 ATS) at the FedExForum. Will the Trail Blazers build off of their win against Charlotte on Friday or will the Grizzlies continue their torrid streak?
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Odds and Lines
Point spread: Grizzlies -5.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Blazers +180 / Grizzlies -220
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Memphis Grizzlies Injury Report
For the Blazers, C.J McCollum (collapsed lung) and Cody Zeller (quadricep) are out. Dennis Smith Jr. (knee), Tony Snell (Personal) and Greg Brown III (illness) are questionable.
For the Grizzlies, Ja Morant (knee), Sam Merril (ankle), Santi Aldama (calf), Brandon Clarke (knee) and Ziare Williams (ankle) are all out.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Grizzlies Keep Rolling
The Grizzlies lost Ja Morant to injury back on November 26th, but that hasn’t stopped them from being one of the NBA’s best teams since. They are 10-1 (9-2 ATS), ranking 1st in Defensive Rating, 5th in Offensive Rating and 1st in Net Rating in their last 11, Per NBA Advanced Stats.
They also are first in the NBA in Offensive Rebound %, 4th in Defensive Rebound % and 9th in eFG % over that stretch. And it’s not like they are just squeaking by, either. In the nine games they’ve covered, they are +200 to the spread. This includes covers by 23 against the Kings, 62 against the Thunder, 20.5 against the Heat, 17 against the Lakers and 37 against the Sixers.
They are, in a word, a wagon.
Trail Blazers Dragging Their Feet
On the flip side, the Portland Trail Blazers have left a lot to be desired this season. They are 15th in Offensive Rating, 28th in Defensive Rating and 24th in Net Rating per NBA Advanced Stats. They are mired in a season filled with distractions in the form of Damian Lillard trade rumors and the firing of General Manager Neil Olshey.
Lillard is also having his worst season as a pro, with career worsts in PPG (22.8), eFG% (47.6%), 3P% (31.6%) and FG% (39.5%).
The Blazers are 2-8 SU in their last ten games, going 3-7 ATS. Prior to their win on Friday against the Hornets, they had lost seven straight games. The Hornets were a dream matchup for the Blazers, as they had been traveling West with one of the league’s worst defensive units.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Memphis Grizzlies Prediction
While it does feel somewhat obvious to ride with the hot hand and take the Grizzlies -5.5 here, I am actually looking more towards the total. The Trail Blazers are off a game in which they scored 125 points against a putrid defense, but will be met with one of the NBA’s best tonight. The previous two meetings between these two teams this season have landed on 212 and 216. The Grizzlies are also only 6-5 ATS as home favorites this season.
With all of that, I lean to the under at 219.5, as the Blazers will find it much more difficult to score in this game compared to their previous. We also have some interesting betting data in this one. 71% of the bets are on the over while 60% of the money is on the under. Ride with the sharp side in the under as the Grizzlies defense shines.
All betting lines were retrieved from BetUS. Click below to claim a free bet, if you’re a new customer.